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Friday 9 April 2010

ANDY'S GUIDE TO YOUR LOCAL CONSTITUENCIES

DONE AS A FACEBOOK NOTE, BUT THOUGHT I'D STICK IT UP HERE IN CASE IT'S HELPFUL...


Tooting (inc Balham West of railway & Earlsfield)
CURRENT MP: Sadiq Khan
WHO IS HE? Rising star – as proven by the fact he’s always in shot behind Gordon Brown on TV. Photogenic moderate Muslim, squeaky clean over expenses and always an opponent of the War on Iraq. Formerly a Human Rights lawyer and now 2nd in the Transport Department. Local boy whose father drove the 44 bus.
OPPOSITION: Conservative Mark Clarke – born in the area and now back living in Tooting Bec, although slated by Khan for being registered to vote in ‘Chelsea’s Millionaire’s Row’. His literature focuses on the NHS – vowing to sort out St George’s Hospital, at which his mother used to work.
CHANCES: This could be a good contest. Some assume Tooting to be a safe Labour seat but, truth is, if the 2005 swing of 2,500ish seats from Labour to Conservative was repeated – it would be very close indeed.

Croydon North (inc. Norbury)
CURRENT MP: Malcolm Wicks, standing again for Labour
WHO IS HE? Been MP there since ’92. Never made it to the Cabinet but has been a Minister for Work & Pensions and then Energy. Has now stepped down and acts as Special Advisor to Brown. Disliked by environmentalists for supporting Oil Drilling in Mornay Firth (alleged risk to dolphins). Pretty good on expenses.
CHANCES: Stuck with him. Even with 4% swing away at last election, still had majority of 14,000. That, friends, is a safe seat.

Battersea (inc rest of Balham and Wandsworth)
CURRENT MP: Martin Linton, standing again for Labour
WHO IS HE? 66 years old and not shown much ambition to be part of government up to now. Content to serve as PPS to a number of ministers. His passion is for Palestine and a 2-state solution.
OPPOSITION: Jane Ellison, a Conservative candidate standing for the first time following 23 years working for John Lewis.
CHANCES: Surely goodbye Mr Linton if there is any kind of pro-Tory swing. His majority was one of the smallest in the country at the last election, winning by only 163 votes. Expect Tory Battersea for first time since ’92.

Streatham
CURRENT MP: Keith Hill, Labour, stepping down. Was formerly PPS to Blair himself, following a ministerial career, and retired to backbenches once Brown took over. Fighting the seat for Labour is instead Chuka Umunna.
WHO IS HE? Umanna is well worth watching and could be a big deal – he has been held up as a potential ‘British Obama’ in the press. He’s written for everyone from The Guardian to the FT, has appeared on Question Time and Daily Politics, has founded an influential online magazine and is a leading member of influential Labour pressure group Compass. The New Statesman reckons he’s ‘One of 10 People Who Could Change the World’. Big voice for change – arguing loudly for a new electoral system etc.
OPPOSITION: Lib Dem Chris Nicholson will be closest opposition based on the last couple of elections. He’s a Streatham chap who campaigned against the closure of the Post Office and Ice Rink. Rahoul Bhansali for the Conservaitves.
CHANCES: Conservatives did hold Streatham back in ’87, but they were 11,500 behind last time so seem out of it. The Liberal Democrats on the other hand will feel they have a shout. As with Tooting above, if they and Labour do the same as last time (Labour lost 3,000, Lib Dems gained 5,000), then they’ll have it.

Mitcham and Morden
CURRENT MP: Siobhain McDonough, Labour
WHO IS SHE?: Controversial. Amazed she’s standing again. Done badly out of expenses, and sacked from the government by Brown after she called for him to go. But apparently a good local MP, winning a specialist unit for St Heliers and 2 big Academies for the area.
OPPOSITION: Melanie Hampton for Conservatives.
CHANCES: Not much. Safe Labour seat with 12,5000 majority.

Sutton and Cheam:
CURRENT MP: Paul Burstow, Liberal Democrat
 WHO IS HE? Big Lib Dem player. Former key member of Shadow Cabinet, but now their Chief Whip. Known for being particularly knowledgable on issues regarding older people.
OPPOSITION: Philippa Stroud of Conservatives – so confident of victory she’s vowed to only engage in positive campaigning! Interesting track record actually – Director of the Cedntre for Social Justice and has formerly spent 18 months working with Triad gang members in Hong Kong!
CHANCES: If Tories are going to win anywhere it’s here. The Lib Dem win in ’97 was a big turn-up, but even in their lean times the Tories have stayed right on their heels, losing by less than 3,000 in ’05.

Wimbledon
CURRENT MP: Stephen Hammond, Conservative
WHO IS HE? A former banker and currently a shadow Transport Minister with special responsibility for London.
OPPOSITION: Andrew Judge, a notable local figure having headed up the local council for 5 years. Long-standing environmental campaigner.
CHANCES: This is a place of proper politics! A real class clash between the estates of Colliers Wood/South Wimbledon and the rich Tory suburbs. In 2001 it just about stayed Labour. In 2005 it just about went Conservative. Surely the way things are going Labour can’t win it back.

Epsom & Ewell
CURRENT MP: Chris Grayling, Conservative
WHO IS HE: Often impressive but strangely gaffe-prone Shadow Home Secretary.
OPPOSITION: None really. Even in the ’97 massacre the Conservatives kept a majority of 11,000!
CHANCES: A seat so safe you could leave you phone and wallet on it and wander off to drink.

Vauxhall (inc. North Clapham)
CURRENT MP: Kate Hoey, Labour
WHO IS SHE: Interestingly controversial and combative backbencher. Has been called “the least gay-friendly MP” by Stonewall and, whilst very much against fox-hunting, has complained about UK gun laws being too harsh! Has voted against her own party on at least 7 key issues, including the Lisbon Treaty, ID Cards, top-up fees and the war in Iraq. WAS Minister for Sport but later campaigned against the London Olympics, saying Paris was more deserving!
OPPOSITON: Caroline Pidgeon for Lib Dems
CHANCES: Safe Labour seat, even in the 80s.

3 comments:

  1. Hi Andy, thought you might appreciate a link to todays Telegraph that shows Sadiq still has not grasped the importance of NOT using his MPs allowance to campaign: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/election-2010/7579476/General-election-2010-Transport-minister-Sadiq-Khan-in-election-expenses-row.html

    Not so squeaky clean I am afraid, but in the grand scheme of things not the biggest expenses offence...

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  2. And so who will you be voting for in your local elections?

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  3. Local elections are tough... I appreciate that our Tory council give us the lowest council-tax nationwide, along with decent services. But I'm willing to make a petty protest vote against them on account of a) the appalling pothole situation and b) the outrageous episode of my car being towed from outside my house, leaving me to believe it had been stolen. I would have disputed a ticket for it (the yellow line was so old I couldn't see it - it's now gone altogether), let alone a £250 tow! See - I'm still angry. It would be more honest if they DID just raise council tax! Grrr...

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